A book of dated forecasts about superintelligence, checked against the news every morning, and scored when they fall due.
The stories
Every story in the episode, with its source and the forecasts it touches.
More headlines from the day
The week in the forecasts
Three developments that changed the outlook
Every Friday: the three stories from the week's episodes that moved a forecast most, and one practical thing to do about them.
Earlier weeks
Get it every Friday
Holding the Guide to account
What it got right or wrong
Every forecast in the Guide has a best-guess month, a window around it and a test written before it falls due. Once its month has passed, it leaves the live timeline and is judged here against that test: right, partly right, wrong, or not settled while its window is still open.
What changed in the forecasts
The Guide's odds move only when Peter revises them, and every revision is dated, with its reason.
The latest reassessment
The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Singularity
Predictions vs reality
The Guide's live forecasts, year by year from now to 2040 and beyond, each with its best-guess month, its odds and the test it will be judged against, and every story in the show that bears on it.
This tracks the news, not the odds. The odds are the Guide's own and move only when Peter revises them. "Evidence for" means a story shows part of a forecast's claim happening, not that the forecast has come true: that is settled only by its test, once its month has passed. The months are the Guide's best guesses, and the "±" is how far either side the Guide allows. The tests and the links are the show's reading, not an independent assessment.
A field guide by Peter Xing
The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Singularity
The future is still unwritten.
A journey through artificial general intelligence, superintelligence, and the human choices in between.
It's where the forecasts the show checks every morning come from.
AGI Broad, human-level capability across tasks.
ASI Intelligence beyond human capability.
Neither a model launch nor a news headline establishes that a threshold has been crossed.
Read the guide
Peter's original chapters, from the capability frontier to the choices that remain ours. Three routes run through them: Capability asks when, Abundance asks how to thrive, and Risk asks what could go wrong.
The chapters load from the Guide as you get here.
About the author
Every episode
A new one lands every morning, Sydney time. This page checks for it while you're here.
About the show
The Singularity Daily is a 3-minute, upbeat catch-up on the last 24 hours in superintelligence, framed as the singularity arriving one day at a time. It's made every morning by an AI production pipeline Peter Xing built: it scans thousands of headlines, checks each story against a primary source or a major outlet, writes and voices the script, composes a new soundtrack and renders the video, then publishes it here with every source.
Your host is Claudia, an open character by anabology. Article screenshots shown in the videos belong to their publishers.
The forecasts come from The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Singularity, Peter's living guide to the post-AGI transition. Want the long view? Read the Guide right here, then see what it got right or wrong.
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